Welcome to the only World Cup betting guide you’ll ever need, whether it’s your first bet or your hundredth.
Whether you’re targeting long-term futures or daily edges in each of the 104 matches, this guide has everything from suggested wagers for each market along with match-by-match strategy, props, live betting angles and much more throughout the entire tournament.
5 Bets You Should Make | Underdogs to Bet On | Futures Guide | Daily Betting Strategy | Props and Specials | Live Betting
5 Bets You Should Make
Belgium to Win All Group Games (+220)
Ecuador to Reach Semifinals (+1400)
Portugal to Lift the Trophy (+850)
Harry Kane
Golden Boot Winner (+700)
Kylian Mbappé
Golden Ball Winner (+900)
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Underdogs to Bet On
Below are some underdog bets from FOX Sports Wager Expert, Chris “The Bear” Fallica:
Fallica’s Pick:
Ivory Coast, Win Group E (+700), Top African Team (+600)
Fallica’s Pick:
Morocco, Win Group C (+350)
Fallica’s Pick:
Jérémy Doku, Golden Boot (+8000)
Futures Guide
All 48 nations playing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup have been divided into 12 groups (labeled A-J) of four teams each. The top two teams from each group advance, along with the eight best third-place teams.
The eight third-place teams with the most points will advance to the knockout rounds— with the tiebreakers below being used to determine who gets in if teams have the same number of points:
Our Pick:
Senegal (-230)
Sadio Mané of Senegal.
Only one team finishes on top of each group, and unlike the “to advance” market, there is no safety net. A single draw or upset can completely shift the standings, making this one of the more volatile markets on the board.
This is the market where bettors should look for value. Instead of laying heavy juice on favorites, target strong second tier teams that can capitalize on one key result. A single head-to-head win is often enough to flip a group.
Our Pick:
Netherlands (-125)
Virgil van Dijk of Netherlands (Photo by Rene Nijhuis/MB Media/Getty Images).
In this betting market, you are simply betting on a team to make it to the final, not win it, which removes some of the volatility that comes with a single match deciding everything.
Our Pick:
Brazil (+400)
Vinícius Júnior and Neymar of Brazil.
The Golden Boot is awarded to the top goalscorer of the tournament and is one of the most popular individual betting markets. It also gives fans a chance to root for a single player throughout the tournament.
Players on teams that make deep runs will have more matches and more chances to score, which is why winners almost always come from teams that reach at least the semifinals.
Our Pick:
Harry Kane (+700)
The Golden Ball is awarded to the best player in the tournament based on expert opinion and media voting.
Our Pick:
Kylian Mbappé (+900)
The Golden Glove is the award given to the best goalkeeper of the World Cup.
It is awarded to the keeper who had the greatest impact on their team’s success throughout the tournament.
Our Pick:
Thibaut Courtois (+2000)
Daily Betting Strategy During Tournament
Now, let’s turn our focus from futures to individual matches.
The World Cup runs from June 11 to July 19, with multiple matches to bet on each day. While futures can offer value, they require a series of outcomes to hit and often take the entire tournament to cash.
Betting on individual matches allows you to build momentum and stack wins throughout each of the 104 World Cup matches.
The moneyline betting market is different in soccer than in most other sports. Instead of two options, there are three: each team to win and the match to end in a draw.
The bet is finalized at the end of regulation time. If the game goes to extra time or a penalty shootout, a “Draw” bet cashes.
Because of this, the odds will have more value, but there are now three possible outcomes instead of two. Here’s an example below:
In the 2022 World Cup, 31% of knockout matches required extra time or penalties to determine a winner, while only 20.8% of group stage matches ended in a draw.
The spread betting market in soccer is based on goal margin, with one team favored by a certain number of goals. In closer matchups, the favorite is often listed at -0.5, while larger favorites can be -1.5, -2.5 or even -3.5.
One key difference in World Cup betting is that spreads are not always priced evenly at -110 on both sides. The odds will vary based on how strong the favorite is, so it is important to pay attention to the price, not just the number.
On several sportsbooks, you can also find alternate spreads at different odds, allowing bettors to adjust their risk and potential payout.
Additionally, goal differential has now become critical in the group stage, especially under the new format with third-place teams advancing. Teams are more likely to push for multi-goal wins rather than settle for narrow victories.
The over/under provides another exciting way to bet on an individual match. You are simply betting on whether the combined score of both teams will be over or under a set number (usually 2.5 goals).
Time Limit: Important! These bets almost always apply to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. In knockout rounds, goals scored in extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward your O/U bet.
In the 2022 World Cup, there was an average of 2.69 goals per game, which was the highest in the 32-team era.
One key tip for the 2026 World Cup: with the new 48-team format, eight of the 12 third-place teams advance, and they are ranked across all groups by goal difference and goals scored.
The Draw No Bet (DNB) market is a safer way to play the moneyline. It’s useful in matches where you like a team to win but could also see it ending in a draw. If your team wins, you win. If it’s a draw, you get your money back.
In this market, you pay for that safety net with your potential payout. Since the sportsbooks are taking on more risk by giving you your money back on a draw, they slash the odds. Here’s an example:
If you bet $100 on the USA 3-way moneyline, you’d profit $95. If you take the Americans on the DNB line, you only profit about $43. You sacrifice some of your profit to get your money back if it finishes as a draw.
This market only applies to knockout rounds— you are simply picking which team makes it to the next round.
Unlike standard moneyline bets that are settled after 90 minutes, this wager is decided by the final outcome of the match. Whether your team scores the winning goal in the 20th minute, the 119th minute, or advances via a penalty shootout, your ticket cashes.
Example: Argentina vs France (2022 WC Final)
Props and Specials
This is where things really get fun. If you’re just looking to enjoy an exciting match without picking a side, player prop markets offer a great way to get involved.
Raúl Jiménez
Mexico, 44 Career Goals
Son Heung-min
South Korea, 54 Career Goals
Jonathan David
Canada, 39 Career Goals
Christian Pulisic
USA, 20 Career Assists
Live Betting Playbook
Live betting offers a completely different way to approach the tournament and can create real advantages while the action unfolds. Live betting creates real opportunities to jump in at the right moment.
Here are some windows to take advantage of live betting:
4 World Cup Dark-Horse Teams That Can Actually Make A Run
Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica’s Best World Cup Futures Bets
2026 World Cup Odds: How Far Will Team USA Go?
5 Key World Cup Storylines To Watch: New Faces, Big Stars And USA’s Outlook
