2026 World Cup: Canada's Odds Fall After Opening Draw

As one of three co-host nations, Canada’s first 2026 FIFA World Cup match ended in a 1-1 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina.

After allowing an early goal in the 21st minute off a corner kick, Canada leveled the score with a 78th minute equalizer from Cyle Larin. 

While many thought Friday would finally be the day, Canada have still never won a FIFA Men’s World Cup match. 

But it could have been much worse, as they were trailing for the majority of the match.

With the draw, Canada’s odds have only dropped slightly. Prior to the match, Canada had 200-1 odds to win the World Cup. That number has now fallen to 250-1. 

Additionally, its odds to win Group B have dropped from +180 to +240. 

The good news is that its odds to advance to the knockout round remained the same at -1000. 

After its opening draw vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina, here are the updated odds for how Canada will fare in this year’s tournament as of June 12.

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Team Canada — Stage of Elimination

Last 32: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
Last 16: +210 (bet $10 to win $31 total)
Group stage: +450 (bet $10 to win $55 total)
Quarterfinals: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Semifinals: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Runner-up: +8000 (bet $10 to win $810 total)
Outright winner: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)

Canada to Qualify from Group B: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)

Canada Group B Winner: +240 (bet $10 to win $34 total)

Canada Top Goalscorer (as of June 11)

Jonathan David: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Cyle Larin: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)
Promise David: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Tani Oluwaseyi: +1100 (bet $10 to win $120 total)
Alphonso Davies: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Tajon Buchanan: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Jacob Shaffelburg: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
Nathan Saliba: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)

What to know: Canada has only qualified to play in the global event three times — 1986, 2022 and now 2026. While the Canadians ended a 36-year-long drought with their appearance in 2022, it was short-lived, as they got ousted in the group stage with a record of 0-0-3. They will look to build off their strong momentum from their fourth-place finish at the 2024 Copa América tournament. 

After recording its first ever men’s World Cup point, Les Rouges will look to get in the win column in its remaining two group games against Qatar and Switzerland.