The biggest sporting event North America has ever hosted is in full swing, and we already have a new favorite atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup oddsboard.
After a lackluster first half that resulted in only one shot on goal, France had its 2026 World Cup breakout in the second half of Tuesday’s match against Senegal.
Les Bleus stormed to a 3-1 win behind Kylian Mbappé’s two goals, while Bradley Barcola added another just minutes after he came onto the pitch.
With his brace today, Kylian Mbappé became France’s all-time leader in goals with 58, passing Olivier Giroud. He now has 14 World Cup goals, tied with Gerd Müller for the third-most of any man in World Cup history.
With its huge opening win, France is now the sole favorite to win the World Cup this summer at +420, the lowest its been since the tournament odds came out back in December.
France’s win, combined with Spain’s unexpected opening draw, has caused major movement at the top of the oddsboard.
In a wild turn of events on Monday, Spain, who came into its match as the -1500 favorites, shockingly had to settle for a draw against Cape Verde in its World Cup opener.
Spain sits second in the FIFA World Rankings, while Cape Verde is 67th. The 65-place gap marks the fourth-largest ranking disparity ever overcome by an underdog that managed to either win or draw a World Cup match since the FIFA rankings were introduced in 1992.
Now, after its disappointing draw and France’s opening win, Spain has dropped from +450 to +500.
Let’s dive into the full odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, as of June 16.
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France: +420 (bet $10 to win $52 total)
Spain: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
England: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Portugal: +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Argentina: +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)
Brazil: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Germany: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Netherlands: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
Norway: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Belgium: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Morocco: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
United States: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Colombia: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Japan: +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total)
Mexico: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Uruguay: +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total)
Croatia: +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total)
Switzerland: +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:
The Favorites: France is now the solo favorites atop the oddsboard. They opened their pursuit for a third World Cup title with a 3-1 win against Senegal on Tuesday. Les Bleus will face Norway and Iraq in its next two group stage matches as they eye a deep tournament run once again.
Spain comes in second on the oddsboard at +500. While Spain’s opening draw against Cape Verde was a nightmare start to their tournament, they remain the second choice at +500. Spain has appeared in 16 previous World Cups and won the tournament once, lifting the trophy in 2010. It also won the 2024 Euros. They will look to bounce back and follow suit of Argentina’s route to the title in 2022 after its disappointing first result of the tournament.
Biggest Risers: Could the USA and Mexico have gotten off to better starts? The U.S. took a 3-0 lead over Paraguay in the first half before cruising to a 4-1 win, while Mexico opened up the tournament with a 2-0 win over South Africa. Leading the way for the United States was Falorin Balogun, who scored twice. However, Mauricio Pochettino took USA star Christian Pulisic out at halftime due to calf tightness. The host nations have been two of the biggest risers up the oddsboard during the first week of the tournament.
