2026 World Cup Odds: USA Opens As Slight Favorites vs. Belgium In Round Of 16

The United States is through to the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup after defeating Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0. 

After his first goal was ruled offside, Folarin Balogun responded just minutes later with a brilliant left-footed finish to give the United States a 1-0 lead just before halftime. It was his third goal of the tournament, making him just the fifth American to score three career World Cup goals, joining Landon Donovan, Bert Patenaude, Clint Dempsey and Brian McBride.

In the second half, however, things got dicey. 

Balogun was sent off with a red card in the 64th minute. The U.S. managed to hold on with 10 men before Malik Tillman’s beautiful free-kick goal sealed the victory, but the sending off comes at a major cost. Balogun, the Americans’ star striker, will now miss the Round of 16.

The U.S. will face Belgium in the Round of 16 at Seattle Stadium on July 6. Belgium advanced after its historic comeback win over Senegal, in which it scored two goals in a three-minute span to overcome a 2-0 deficit in the 85th minute. 

With the showdown now set, FanDuel Sportsbook has released the betting odds for the Round of 16 matchup as of July 1.

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USA: +155 (bet $10 to win $25.50 total)
Belgium: +165 (bet $10 to win $26.50 total)
Draw: +250 (bet $10 to win $35 total)

USA: -110 (bet $10 to win $19.09 total)
Belgium: -110 (bet $10 to win $19.09 total)

The victory also marked a historic milestone for the United States. It was just the nation’s second-ever knockout stage win at a men’s World Cup, with the only previous victory coming against Mexico in the Round of 16 in 2002, a tournament in which the Americans reached the quarterfinals. 

It also marked the first time in U.S. history that the team has won three matches at a single World Cup.

With the win, the Stars and Stripes have surged up the oddsboard to +2500 to win the World Cup after opening the tournament at +5000.

USA defeated Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 32 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images).

If the U.S. continues to advance, it will play the quarterfinals at Los Angeles Stadium, the semifinals at Dallas Stadium and a potential final at New York New Jersey stadium. 

So when will the USA be eliminated? 

Or, after its great start to the tournament, can it win the whole thing?

Let’s take a look at the updated odds for the United States’ stage of elimination at FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 1.

Team USA — Stage of elimination odds

Round of 16: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
Quarterfinals: +165 (bet $10 to win $26.50 total)
Semifinals: +550 (bet $10 to win $65 total)
Runner-up: +1900 (bet $10 to win $200 total)
Outright winner: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)

The U.S. men’s national team currently has 25-1 odds to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy this summer (Getty Images).