{"id":2172,"date":"2025-12-05T18:49:53","date_gmt":"2025-12-05T18:49:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=2172"},"modified":"2025-12-05T18:49:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-05T18:49:53","slug":"usa-at-world-cup-2026-best-and-worst-case-path-to-final-4th-of-july-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=2172","title":{"rendered":"USA at World Cup 2026: Best and Worst Case? Path to Final? 4th of July Game?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            POPULAR SEARCHES\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            BROWSE BY\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>We&#8217;re getting excited about the 2026 World Cup and seeing the U.S. men&#8217;s national team take on the best teams from across the globe. Next summer&#8217;s edition of soccer&#8217;s marquee event will include 48 teams (the biggest field ever) and will be co-hosted by three countries: the U.S., Canada and Mexico.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>But there are some questions we want answered. Who could be the team&#8217;s opponents? Could it possibly get roped into a Group of Death? How could Christian Pulisic and Co. reach the final on July 19 at MetLife Stadium? We have you covered.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>JUMP TO: <\/strong>Schedule\/Opponents |<strong> <\/strong>Group of Death?<strong> <\/strong>| Easiest Group? | Path to World Cup final? | Fourth of July Game? | History, Best Finish<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>The World Cup will run from June 11\u2013July 19, 2026. Spread across three countries, the tournament will culminate with the final on July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The FOX family of networks and the FOX Sports app are your complete home for World Cup content, including live matches, complete highlights, commentary and analysis, and full-match replays.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>The United States will know their three group-stage opponents on Dec. 5 when the World Cup draw happens in Washington, D.C., at the Kennedy Center. The team does know its group already (Group D). This was to ensure that, as co-hosts of the tournament, the U.S. would play all three of its matches in the country.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>The United States&#8217; three group stage games will be as follows:<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>June 12 vs. Paraguay \u2014 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>June 19 vs. Australia \u2014 at Lumen Field in Seattle<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>June 25 vs. TBD \u2014 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>There are several ways to look at this. Would it be by FIFA&#8217;s latest world rankings? By history of the United States&#8217; opponents at previous World Cups? By the dark horse candidates? Let&#8217;s start off by how the rankings of all the teams that have already booked their spot for next year:<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>As you see, teams like Spain (led by Barcelona youngster Lamine Yamal) and defending champion Argentina (featuring superstar Lionel Messi) rule the latest rankings. Those two teams \u2013 along with France, England, Brazil and Cristiano Ronaldo&#8217;s Portugal \u2013 will be among the heavy favorites next summer. Now let&#8217;s move on to the pots:<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Each World Cup group will have one team from the four pots established by FIFA ahead of the Dec. 5 draw. The United States are in Pot 1 alongside co-hosts Canada and Mexico, and are joined by the top nine-ranked teams. \u00a0Each group will also have one opponent from Pots 2, 3, and 4. Teams from the same qualification zone \u2014 except for the European confederation (UEFA) \u2014 cannot be drawn into the same group. So don&#8217;t expect two South American teams (CONMEBOL), for example, in the same group. However, there could be up to two UEFA teams in one.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>So if the U.S. represents the Pot 1 opponent in their group and are joined by one team each from the other pots, we can sketch out potential Group of Death scenarios, whether by rankings or by starpower potential.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>USA&#8217;s Group of Death (by FIFA rankings)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Croatia, Norway, Jordan: <\/strong>This includes a Croatian side (Pot 2&#8217;s highest ranked team) that features veteran AC Milan midfielder Luka Modri\u0107, who helped his country reach the 2018 final and the 2022 semifinals. Add in Pot 3&#8217;s top side Norway, which will lean heavily on Manchester City superstar striker Erling Haaland and dynamic Arsenal midfielder Martin \u00d8degaard. Then the weakest of this foursome would be Jordan, which will be making its World Cup debut, but still ranked above the other Pot 4 teams currently qualified for 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>USA&#8217;s Group of Death (if Italy qualifies)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Croatia, Egypt, Italy: <\/strong>Ah, yes. Four-time World Cup champions Italy. The team that hasn&#8217;t directly qualified for the World Cup since 2014. And if they want to reach the 2026 tournament, it&#8217;ll have to do it by clinching one of the four pending European spots in March via the UEFA playoffs. If Italy does that, they&#8217;ll be the most dangerous team in Pot 4. \u00a0So the United States could have a group that includes Pot 2&#8217;s Croatia and Pot 4&#8217;s Italy (remember, only two European teams per group, so Pot 3&#8217;s Norway can&#8217;t join here). And since Panama is in the same region (CONCACAF) as the U.S., the next available Pot 3 team would be an intriguing Egyptian side that features a goal machine in Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>USA&#8217;s Group of Death (with other top teams)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Morocco, Norway, Italy: <\/strong>Morocco ranks behind Croatia in the Pot 2 rankings, but make no mistake. Morocco is a talented and deep squad that reached the semifinals in 2022. Along with Norway and potentially Italy, this would be a nightmare group for the USA. Add the fact that Morocco has eliminated the U.S. in two junior World Cup tournaments in 2025 (the Under-17 and the Under-23 editions).\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Uruguay, Norway, Ghana: <\/strong>Another potential Pot 4 foe is a familiar one for USA fans. Ghana, which struggled throughout its qualifying campaign in Africa, is always a tough opponent at the World Cup. The U.S. has already played Ghana at three separate World Cups, most notably losing to the Black Stars in the Round of 16 at the 2010 edition held in South Africa. Add perennial power Uruguay as a potential Pot 2 opponent, and you have a pretty scary group even if the U.S. did beat the South American side in an exhibition match earlier in November.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Colombia, Norway, Ghana\/Italy: <\/strong>Let&#8217;s replace one South American powerhouse with another here as the Pot 2 foe. Expect Colombian fans to show up in force to cheer on a squad led by Bayern Munich playmaker Luis Diaz, regardless of who the team plays. With Norway from Pot 3 and Ghana (or again, Italy) from Pot 4, the U.S. will have its hands full.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>On the flip side, what could be the best-case scenario for the United States? Let&#8217;s start off with the lowest-ranked team in Pot 2 and Pot 3, respectively. Since every group will have at least one European team (but no more than two), then we&#8217;ll include one from Pot 4.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>USA&#8217;s Easiest Group (by FIFA rankings)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Australia, South Africa, Kosovo: <\/strong>Australia is the lowest ranked team in Pot 2, so they&#8217;ll slot in here. But don&#8217;t be fooled. The Socceroos are always a tough opponent regardless of ranking. But the United States should be confident against them, considering it recently beat Australia in an October friendly. South Africa emerged out of qualifying in a group that included a talented-yet-underachieving Nigeria squad. You&#8217;ll then need a European team from Pot 4. Kosovo is here because they&#8217;re the lowest-ranked European team that&#8217;s still in contention. But in order to even reach next summer&#8217;s tournament, they&#8217;ll need to first beat Slovakia and then the Turkey\/Romania winner in March&#8217;s UEFA playoff round.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>USA&#8217;s Easiest Group (with two European teams)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Austria, South Africa, Albania\/Bosnia &amp; Herzegovina\/Kosovo\/Ireland:<\/strong> Let&#8217;s go with Austria, which is the lowest-ranked European team in Pot 2 and is right above Australia. You then keep South Africa as Pot 3&#8217;s lowest ranked team. And then from Pot 4, any of the lowest-ranked European teams that would have to escape the playoff round in March. One fun scenario for the U.S. would be if Ireland qualifies for the World Cup. The Irish would no doubt be a popular draw in the U.S. at the World Cup if they book a spot via the European playoffs (beating the Czech Republic and the Denmark\/North Macedonia winner) in March.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><span>(Photo by Mike Stobe &#8211; FIFA\/FIFA via Getty Images)<\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>With their group-stage dates known (even without opponents), we can map out the USA&#8217;s road to the final. There are in total five scenarios for the team to reach the final.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>If the USA wins Group D:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 32 match \u2013 July 1 at Levi&#8217;s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. (San Francisco Bay Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 16 match \u2013 July 6 at Lumen Stadium in Seattle<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Quarterfinals match \u2013 July 10 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Semifinals match \u2013 July 15 at AT&amp;T Stadium in Arlington, Texas (Dallas Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Final \u2013 July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York City Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>If the USA finishes second in Group D:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 32 match \u2013 July 3 at AT&amp;T Stadium in Arlington, Texas (Dallas Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 16 match \u2014 July 7 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Quarterfinals match \u2013 July 11 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Semifinals match \u2013 July 15 at Mercedez-Benz Stadium in Atlanta<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Final \u2013 July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York City Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Only if the United Staets doesn&#8217;t finish first or second in Group D and instead reaches the knockout stage as one of the eight best third-place teams. So it&#8217;s a tricky road. But here are the scenarios for seeing the U.S. play on Independence Day in Philadelphia.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Scenario 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 32 match \u2014 June 29 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. (Boston Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 16 match \u2014 July 4 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Quarterfinals match \u2013 July 9 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. (Boston Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Semifinals match \u2013 July 15 at AT&amp;T Stadium in Arlington, Texas (Dallas Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Final \u2013 July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York City Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Scenario 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 32 match \u2014 June 30 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York City Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 16 match \u2014 July 4 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Quarterfinals match \u2013 July 9 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. (Boston Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Semifinals match \u2013 July 15 at AT&amp;T Stadium in Arlington, Texas (Dallas Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Final \u2013 July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York City Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><strong>Scenario 3<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97><i>This scenario doesn&#8217;t have them playing on July 4 but still advancing as a third-place team:\u00a0<\/i><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 32 match \u2014 July 3 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Round of 16 match \u2014 July 7 at BC Place in Vancouver, Canada<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Quarterfinals match \u2013 July 11 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Semifinals match \u2013 July 15 at Mercedez-Benz Stadium in Atlanta<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>Final \u2013 July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York City Area)<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>The United States has appeared 11 FIFA World Cups, qualifying in 1930, 1934, 1950, 1990, 1994 (hosts), 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2022. The 2026 edition will be their 12th appearance and the second they host the event (this one alongside Canada and Mexico). \u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>The United States&#8217; best-ever finish came in the inaugural 1930 World Cup in Uruguay, where they reached the semifinals. Since no third-place match was held that year, FIFA officially lists the United States as finishing in third place.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-160ccf97>In the modern era, the team\u2019s most notable run occurred in 2002 when they reached the quarterfinals. The U.S. defeated Portugal in the group stage and beat Mexico 2\u20130 in the Round of 16 before narrowly falling 1\u20130 to Germany in a match remembered for a missed handball call.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>POPULAR SEARCHES BROWSE BY We&#8217;re getting excited about the 2026 World Cup and seeing the U.S. men&#8217;s national team take on the best teams from across the globe. Next summer&#8217;s edition of soccer&#8217;s marquee event will include 48 teams (the biggest field ever) and will be co-hosted by three countries: the U.S., Canada and Mexico.\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":2171,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-soccer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2172","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2172"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2172\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2171"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}