{"id":5863,"date":"2026-07-01T00:16:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T00:16:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=5863"},"modified":"2026-07-01T00:16:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T00:16:19","slug":"2026-world-cup-odds-usa-winning-on-penalties-would-be-best-outcome","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=5863","title":{"rendered":"2026 World Cup Odds: &#039;USA Winning On Penalties Would Be Best Outcome&#039;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            POPULAR SEARCHES\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            BROWSE BY\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Oddsmakers at American sportsbooks expected substantial support for the USA in World Cup odds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>However, wagering went well beyond substantial in the group stage, and it\u2019s continuing in the USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina odds for Wednesday night\u2019s Round of 32 match.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;Early signs were there, before the tournament, that there was a bit of patriotic money,&#8221; Caesars Sports head of soccer trading Mark Bickerdike said. &#8220;Then given how the U.S. started, we saw quite an influx.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;It\u2019s half understandable, but equally, we were surprised to see the scale of action. It\u2019s great to see this level of engagement, though.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Bickerdike helps dive into USA-Bosnia odds and the status of the U.S. in World Cup futures odds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><i>This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about <\/i><i><u>Sports Betting on FOX Sports<\/u><\/i><i>.<\/i><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Market Settles<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Following the USA\u2019s 3-2 loss to T\u00fcrkiye on a goal in the waning moments of second-half injury time, Caesars Sports quickly posted USA-Bosnia and Herzegovina odds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>With the tournament now at the knockout stage, there were two main markets: the three-way moneyline for 90 minutes plus injury time and To Qualify, for which team advances to the Round of 16.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>The three-way moneyline opened at USA -190\/Bosnia and Herzegovina +525\/Draw +295. But those odds proved to be too light.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;The market overreacted to the T\u00fcrkiye defeat,&#8221; Bickerdike said, noting the U.S. should\u2019ve been a larger favorite.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That\u2019s now the case. As of Tuesday evening, about a day before Wednesday\u2019s 8 p.m. ET kickoff on FOX, it\u2019s USA -275\/Bosnia and Herzegovina +750\/Draw +370.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;It took a little time for the market to settle,&#8221; Bickerdike said. &#8220;It\u2019s also likely that Christian Pulisic is going to start, as well. So it\u2019s now a fairer reflection of what the prices should be.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>In the To Qualify odds, Caesars opened at USA -390\/Bosnia and Herzegovina +305 and stretched as far as USA -625\/Bosnia and Herzegovina +425.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>On Tuesday night, it\u2019s USA -560\/Bosnia and Herzegovina +360.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Money From The Masses<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Once again, the public betting masses are firing away on the USA.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;Particularly in the To Qualify market, where 91.4% of money is on the USA. It\u2019s one-way traffic,&#8221; Bickerdike said. &#8220;On the three-way, there\u2019s a little bit more on Bosnia, 24% of tickets and 14% of money.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;That\u2019s the highest percentage opposing the USA so far in this tournament.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Team USA is taking 68% of tickets and 82% of money in three-way action, with Draw collecting the final 8% of tickets and 4% of money.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;It\u2019s a good matchup for the U.S., in terms of playing styles. I\u2019d be confident if I was a U.S. fan,&#8221; Bickerdike said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Caesars has the total at 2.5 goals, with the Over a plenty popular -132 favorite. In fact, bettors are also hitting the Over on alternate totals, as well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;Most of our liability is on Over 2.5. And we have quite a bit of liability on Over 4.5,&#8221; Bickerdike said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>So Caesars is certainly looking for a low-scoring match. More so, though, the book wants overtime.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;Absolutely, a draw in 90 minutes is preferred, regardless of the result after that,&#8221; Bickerdike said. &#8220;For continued engagement, the USA winning on penalties would be the best outcome.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Futures Forecast<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>When this 48-team tournament began on June 11, Team USA was +5000 in Caesars\u2019 World Cup championship futures odds. The Americans improved to +4000 after the 4-1 win over Paraguay, then to +3000 after the 2-0 win vs. Australia.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>With the 3-2 loss to T\u00fcrkiye in the final group match, the U.S. slid out slightly to +3000.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;This adjustment reflects both their loss to T\u00fcrkiye and a tougher projected route to the final,&#8221; Bickerdike said. &#8220;Despite this, customer support has remained strong, and the USA continues to be one of the most popular selections in the futures market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>&#8220;The USA represents our biggest liability.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Thanks to Germany and the Netherlands suffering upset losses on Monday \u2014 to Paraguay and Morocco, respectively \u2014 the Americans are now top 10 in World Cup futures. The USA and Colombia are the co-ninth choice at Caesars.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>POPULAR SEARCHES BROWSE BY Oddsmakers at American sportsbooks expected substantial support for the USA in World Cup odds. However, wagering went well beyond substantial in the group stage, and it\u2019s continuing in the USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina odds for Wednesday night\u2019s Round of 32 match. &#8220;Early signs were there, before the tournament, that there [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":5862,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5863","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-soccer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5863","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5863"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5863\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5862"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5863"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5863"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5863"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}