{"id":6293,"date":"2026-07-06T22:24:39","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T22:24:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=6293"},"modified":"2026-07-06T22:24:39","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T22:24:39","slug":"big-bets-report-mexico-loss-to-england-costs-bettor-1-million","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=6293","title":{"rendered":"Big Bets Report: Mexico Loss To England Costs Bettor $1 Million"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            POPULAR SEARCHES\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            BROWSE BY\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>World Cup odds continue generating bets more akin to a Super Bowl. That includes wagers of the seven-figure variety.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>But just because someone wagers a lot of money doesn\u2019t mean that person has any sort of special insight. That proved true once again Sunday night, in a wild England vs. Mexico match that saw one Vegas high-roller lose a million dollars.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Read on for more on that major wager, a winner at the buzzer on Norway vs. Brazil, prediction-market pile-ons and a four-year-old parlay that\u2019s finally close to resolution.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><i>This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about <\/i><i><u>Sports Betting on FOX Sports<\/u><\/i><i>.<\/i><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Mexico Million<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>A minor surprising element in the 2026 World Cup odds market is that the biggest bets aren\u2019t always landing with the usual suspects \u2014 the DraftKings, FanDuels, BetMGMs and Caesars of the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Rather, it\u2019s often Station Sports that\u2019s seeing the largest wagers, through its local hotel\/casino\/sportsbook properties located around Las Vegas. Though Station wouldn\u2019t confirm it, social media speculation is that those bets are all coming from the same customer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>On Sunday afternoon, a few hours before the England vs. Mexico clash, that customer decided to go all in on the home side. The bettor spread $1 million across two wagers in the To Advance market:<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>It didn\u2019t look good when Jude Bellingham scored two goals less than two minutes apart, giving England a 2-0 lead in the 38th minute. But Mexico rebounded with a goal before halftime, and an England red card early in the second half helped make this match a thriller throughout.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Ultimately, despite applying massive pressure in the second half, Mexico came up short 3-2. So those wagers became a seven-figure donation to the house.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Ouch.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Buzzer Beater<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Late in second-half injury time of the Norway vs. Brazil match, Norway was up 2-0, and it appeared that\u2019s how it would end. But in the match\u2019s waning moments, Brazil was awarded a penalty kick for a foul in the box.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Neymar converted the kick, the match ended with a 2-1 Norway victory, and Over bettors rejoiced. Perhaps none more so than a Caesars Sports customer who put $49,052.27 \u2014 yes, 27 cents, too \u2014 on Over 2.5 goals (-150).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>The bettor won $32,701.51, for a total payout of $81,753,78.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Funds On France<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>France is the favorite to win the World Cup, and so far, bettors have been rewarded for backing Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 &amp; Co. The French have allowed just two goals through five matches, winning by a cumulative 14-2 total.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>In Tuesday\u2019s Round of 32 match, a Hard Rock Bet customer put a mountainous $631,000 on France \u2014 a heavy favorite of -850 \u2014 to beat Sweden.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Unlike the aforementioned Mexico bettor, this high-roller didn\u2019t have to sweat much at all. France blanked Sweden 3-0, with Mbapp\u00e9\u2019s two goals leading the way.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>So the bettor pocketed $74,235 profit (total payout $705,235). Which might not seem worth it for such a major wager. But it\u2019s hard to argue with 11.8% ROI.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Playing The Long Game<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>File this under Stranger Things: Way back on Dec. 26, 2022, a FanDuel Sportsbook customer put all of 83 cents on a very curious two-leg parlay. The markets:<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Add those up, and you\u2019ve got massive odds of +293050, or almost 2931\/1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>How people come up with such crazy combinations is anybody\u2019s guess. Regardless, yes, Edwards scored the first basket of that game, more than three-and-a-half years ago, although Minnesota ultimately lost 113-110.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Fast-forward to July 6, and Colombia is prepping for a Round of 16 match as the favorite against Sweden. If Colombia wins Tuesday, it\u2019ll stand three victories away from a championship.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>And if somehow that happens, then the bettor\u2019s couch-cushion change will turn into $2,433.15. Personally, I\u2019m rooting for it.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>What a wager.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Making Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Sportsbooks are certainly getting a big boost from action on World Cup odds. But the bulk of the biggest money flying around is doing so on prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Hardly a day goes by without a seven-figure trade, and the six-figure trades are too numerous to mention.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>The latest example: On Sunday, a Polymarket customer put $1.858 million on Mexico to not win its match vs. England.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>As noted above, the host Mexican squad was dealt a heartbreaking loss Sunday night. But it worked out just fine for this trader. With a price of 68% \u2014 which correlates to odds of -213 \u2014 the customer profited $847,608 (total payout $2,733,150).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Indeed, taking the No on Yes\/No markets is proving popular.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>In Sunday\u2019s Norway vs. Brazil match, a Kalshi customer went against the favored Brazilian side, with a trade of $300,000 on Brazil being eliminated.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That was the case in the 2-1 setback. At an underdog price of 30% (+233), the trader hauled in $700,000 profit (total payout $1 million).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Another Kalshi customer put $55,000 on Vin\u00edcius J\u00fanior not to score.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>When Brazil was awarded a penalty kick in the 14th minute, most people assumed Vini would take that kick \u2014 and convert it. Instead, Bruno Guimaraes was chosen, and his shot was saved by Norway goalkeeper Orjan Nyland.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Vini Jr. was ultimately held scoreless. At a price of 55% (-122), the trader won $45,000 (total payout $100,000).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>But &#8220;Just say No&#8221; doesn\u2019t always pay. A Polymarket customer learned an expensive lesson in the Norway vs. Ivory Coast match, making a $2.5 million trade on Norway not to win.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Erling Haaland\u2019s 86th-minute goal gave Norway a 2-1 victory, and that trader waved goodbye to 2.5 mill.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>On the flip side, Colombia drew a $71,000 Yes trade to win the World Cup, at Polymarket. At the time of the trade, Colombia\u2019s price was just 2%, which correlates to odds of +4900.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>If Colombia finds four more wins, then the trader pockets a huge haul of $3.7 million.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Parlay Partay<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>A FanDuel Sportsbook customer successfully picked half the Round of 16 field, on an eight-leg parlay likely placed before the tournament began.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Better still, as the ticket shows, the bettor utilized a bonus bet promotion. So it was basically a free ride.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Granted, most of those teams were fully expected to reach the final 16. That\u2019s why the odds were a relatively modest +2290, just shy of 23\/1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Still, turning a free play into $1,145.02 is a pretty smooth move.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>At Hard Rock Bet, a high-roller piled on a quartet of Tuesday-Wednesday Round of 32 matches. The bettor put $100,000 on a four-leg parlay of Norway, France, Mexico and England to win their matches.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>All four got there, though the bettor got a huge sweat from England. Big underdog Congo led 1-0 from the seventh minute through the 74th minute.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>But Harry Kane saved the day with goals in the 75th and 86th minutes, giving England a 2-1 victory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>The bettor knocked down $674,946.47 in profit (total payout $774,946.47).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Here\u2019s Hoping You Had It<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>You don\u2019t have to wager four, five or six figures to get yourself a nice win. For all us normies, just getting 10 bucks down at, say, 10\/1 or 15\/1 makes for a great day.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>And 28\/1 is even better still.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Fanatics Sportsbook had Jude Bellingham +2800 to score two or more goals vs. Mexico. As noted above, Bellingham got those two goals just 98 seconds apart, in England\u2019s wild 3-2 victory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>If you\u2019d put just 10 bucks on that, then your wallet would be $280 fatter today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Or how about Sidny Cabral netting an anytime goal for Cape Verde, against mighty Argentina, the defending World Cup champion?<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>At FanDuel, Cabral was +2500 to do so at any point in the match, be it in regulation or overtime. Cabral sent a screamer into the net 12 minutes into overtime to tie the match at 2.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Ultimately, Cape Verde fell short Friday night, losing 3-2. But it was a phenomenal match, made even more so if you put a tenner on Cabral and won yourself $250.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Or if you got frisky and put down $100, to pocket $2,500.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>I Like Big Bets and I Cannot Lie<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>There were countless more notable transactions on World Cup odds over the past week. That includes a big winner on the USA.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>A Hard Rock Bet customer put $350,000 on USA -220 vs. Bosnia in the Round of 32. Despite playing down a man much of the second half, due to Folarin Balogun\u2019s 64th-minute red card, the U.S. notched a 2-0 victory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>The bettor cleared $159,090 in profit (total payout $509,090).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Other notable wagers:<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>All these major wagers make this a good time to reinforce this reminder: These high-rollers\/high-net-worth bettors generally have the means to absorb big losses.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>You and I? Not so much. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>POPULAR SEARCHES BROWSE BY World Cup odds continue generating bets more akin to a Super Bowl. That includes wagers of the seven-figure variety. But just because someone wagers a lot of money doesn\u2019t mean that person has any sort of special insight. That proved true once again Sunday night, in a wild England vs. Mexico [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":6292,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-soccer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6293"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6293\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}