{"id":6633,"date":"2026-07-13T18:24:47","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T18:24:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=6633"},"modified":"2026-07-13T18:24:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T18:24:47","slug":"big-bets-report-france-futures-impacting-both-miniscule-major-wagers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/?p=6633","title":{"rendered":"Big Bets Report: France Futures Impacting Both Miniscule, Major Wagers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            POPULAR SEARCHES\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"subnav-title ff-ffc bold fs-23 lh-25 uc pd-b-10\">\n            BROWSE BY\n          <\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>For those who bet on World Cup futures odds, whether months ago, pre-tourney or even over the course of the past four-and-a-half weeks, your wagers are finally about to settle up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That is, as long as your bets included one of the Final Four teams: France, Spain, England and Argentina.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Countless tickets have already settled as losers, including a boatload on the USA, with bookmakers across the country popping corks last Monday night.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>But there are still some notable possible paydays out there, including one high-roller looking to reel in a million dollars on France.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Read on for more on that wager and other interesting World Cup futures bets still alive, along with some of the more noteworthy winners and losers of the past week in World Cup odds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><i>This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about <\/i><i><u>Sports Betting on FOX Sports<\/u><\/i><i>.<\/i><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Major Wager<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Before this 48-team tournament began on June 11, a DraftKings customer was plenty convinced that favorite France was going the distance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>As in, $250,000 convinced.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>The bettor put down a quarter-mill on France +400 to lift the trophy, and a month later, Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 &amp; Co. are in the semifinals, with France sitting as the +150 favorite among the final four teams.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>It\u2019s certainly familiar territory for France, which beat Croatia 4-2 in the 2018 World Cup final, then lost a thrilling 3-3 draw vs. Argentina on a penalty-kick shootout in the 2022 final.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>France is a modest favorite vs. Spain in the first semifinal, at 3 p.m. ET Tuesday on FOX. If France advances, it\u2019ll likely be a similarly short favorite against either England or Argentina, who meet in the second semifinal at 3 p.m. ET on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Those are two big hurdles to clear, to be sure. But if France gets it done, then the bettor pockets $1 million profit, for a total payout of $1.25 million.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Two For The Show<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Back in mid-April, as the NBA playoffs were about to commence, Hard Rock Bet took an interesting two-leg futures parlay, for $2,700: Knicks +1600 to win the NBA Finals and France +500 to win the World Cup.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Add those up, and you\u2019ve got parlay odds of +11000 \u2014 or in easier-to-digest terms, 110\/1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Keep in mind that, at the time, oddsmakers expected the Celtics to be the East representative in the NBA Finals, even as the No. 2 seed. And the Pistons were the East\u2019s No. 1 seed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>But when Boston stunningly bowed out in the first round vs. Philadelphia, it was a wide-open race, and No. 3 seed New York took full advantage. The Knicks ultimately took down the Spurs in five games in the NBA Finals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That happened just as the World Cup was getting underway. Now, the bettor is two France wins away from banking $297,000 profit (total payout $299,700).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Something\u2019s Gotta Give<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>At BetMGM, a customer put $50,000 on England +700 to win the World Cup. Another BetMGM big player put $35,000 on Argentina +800 to win the World Cup.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>So one of those two bettors will be disappointed in the wake of Wednesday\u2019s England vs. Argentina semifinal. England is a slim favorite in that match.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>If Three Lions end their 60-year World Cup title drought, then that bettor bags $350,000 profit (total payout $400,000). If Argentina wins its second straight World Cup, then that bettor nets $280,000 profit (total payout $315,000).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>A big sweat awaits both customers on Wednesday, followed by a likely perspiration-drenched championship match next Sunday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Parlay Partay<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>OK, enough about the people betting four\/five\/six figures. How about something for everyday Joes and Janes?<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Sometime late last NFL season, likely ahead of the wild-card playoffs, a Fanatics Sportsbook customer crafted a $50 seven-leg futures parlay.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>It was all on soccer, except for one NFL leg: Seahawks +425 to win the Super Bowl, which they eventually did on Feb. 8, beating the Patriots 29-13.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Then, one-by-one, over the next three months, five soccer futures cashed. Now, the ticket just needs Spain to come out on top in World Cup futures odds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>The parlay had huge odds of +122406, or just beyond 1224\/1. But the bettor also utilized a 10% profit boost promo, hiking the odds to +134647, just beyond 1346\/1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>If Spain can land two more victories, that bettor\u2019s 50 bucks turns into a stunning total of $67,374.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That\u2019s the kind of ROI all of us can appreciate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Over at Hard Rock Bet, a customer is on the brink of turning just $10 into $70,741, on a 17-leg parlay no less. The incredible odds on that ticket are a monstrous +707310 \u2014 about 7073\/1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Public Service Announcement: 17-leg parlays are not a good investment. So $10 is about the right amount to bet on such lottery-ticket plays.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That said, the bettor is now one leg away from a hefty payday. The bettor correctly picked the leading goalscorer for 16 teams so far.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>All that remains is Harry Kane finishing as England\u2019s top goalscorer. But with Jude Bellingham\u2019s huge performances of late \u2014 four goals in the past two matches \u2014 Bellingham is tied with Kane at six goals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>So the sweat is on for this bettor, in the semifinals and, should England advance, in the championship match.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Prediction Profits and Predicaments<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Throughout the World Cup, the biggest money has flowed through prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The quarterfinal round was no different.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Leading the way is an eye-popping $5.14 million trade on Polymarket for the France-Morocco match to finish with three or more goals. The price was 50% \u2014 or even money, in betting odds \u2014 so the customer was looking to double up by profiting $5.14 million.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Neither team scored in the first half of Thursday\u2019s match, which put this trade on perilous ground. Then Mbapp\u00e9 and Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9 found the net in the 60th and 66th minutes, respectively, putting France up 2-0.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That was it, though. So the trader took a $5.1 million bath.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>As noted previously during the World Cup, traders are intrigued by Yes\/No markets and often take the No.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>In Friday\u2019s Spain vs. Belgium match, a Polymarket trader fired $1.3 million on Belgium not to win. Indeed, Belgium lost 2-1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>At a price of 83% \u2014 which equates to -488 odds \u2014 the trader netted $264,513 profit (total payout $1.566 million).<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>On Saturday, a Polymarket customer had $1.19 million on Norway not to win vs. England. It was tight, in a 1-1 draw that went to overtime, but Norway ultimately lost 2-1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>That\u2019s a winner, and at a price of 76% (-317), the trader profited $379,764.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>At Kalshi, a trader had $164,571 on England to be eliminated vs. Norway. But the English got through to the quarterfinals, so that\u2019s a six-figure loser.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>Here\u2019s Hoping You Had It<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>You don\u2019t have to wager four, five or six figures to get yourself a nice win. For all us normies, just getting 10 bucks down at, say, 10\/1 or 20\/1 makes for a great day.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>There were two such examples in the Norway-England match. At DraftKings Sportsbook, Bellingham was +2000 to score two or more goals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Two minutes into first-half injury time, Bellingham netted his first, tying the game at one. Then three minutes into overtime, Bellingham struck again with what proved to be the game winner.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Also at DraftKings, Norway\u2019s Andreas Schjelderup was +2000 to score the game\u2019s first goal. Schjelderup delivered on a 36th-minute blast, giving Norway a relatively short-lived 1-0 lead.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>If you\u2019d put 10 bucks on either of those, then your wallet would be $200 fatter today. And if you\u2019d gotten a little frisky and bet $100, then you\u2019d have $2,000 profit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14><strong>I Like Big Bets and I Cannot Lie<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>There are countless more notable transactions on World Cup odds. Here are a few more to wrap things up ahead of the semifinals:<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>All these monster wagers present the opportunity to remind you: High-rollers have the means to make those bets, and more so, the ability to absorb crazy losses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ff-h fs-16 lh-1pt6 mg-b-15 article-content\" data-v-a2155f14>Keep your bet size and your expectations reasonable. This is gambling. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>POPULAR SEARCHES BROWSE BY For those who bet on World Cup futures odds, whether months ago, pre-tourney or even over the course of the past four-and-a-half weeks, your wagers are finally about to settle up. That is, as long as your bets included one of the Final Four teams: France, Spain, England and Argentina.\u00a0 Countless [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":6632,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-soccer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6633"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6633\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6632"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/play-live.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}